Evaluating emerging AMR threats and future capacity for action in Norwegian livestock agriculture

AMR presents a constant challenge, a struggle between changing biological, environmental, social, and economic systems, and the development of systems to prevent AMR. Through socio-economic modelling and developing of plausible future scenarios, LIMBO will identify critical success factors. The aim of the project is to develop strategies and policy recommendations, which will be robust in any future scenarios for managing AMR in animal agriculture.

The last 30 years have shown how quickly the picture of AMR in Norwegian agriculture can change. Antibiotic use fell 44% since 1995 but this has not been enough to prevent the establishment of AMR bacteria in livestock herds through other pathways. Important AMR bacteria have been detected in swine and poultry in Norway resulting in costly eradication measures. What might the next 30 years hold? Worldwide food-borne pathogens Salmonella and Campylobacter are becoming increasingly resistant to last resort antibiotics.

Climate change and environmental pollution will contribute to rising AMR and unleashing new pathogens. Whereas COVID-19 looks set to redefine the fiscal landscape in Norway, and globally, with unknown implications for agriculture markets and industry capacity to undertake new action on AMR. This illustrates how AMR presents a constant challenge, a struggle between changing biological, environmental, social, and economic systems, and the development of systems to prevent AMR. How can Norway best respond to these emergent AMR problems and others not yet anticipated? How might changing societal, economic, environmental, and political contexts impact on Norwegian agriculture and its ability to respond?

The aim of LIMBO is to assist Norwegian authorities and stakeholders by anticipating and preparing for future AMR challenges. The project focuses on identifying and evaluating future risk drivers and developing plausible future scenarios to enable stakeholders to assess diverse future outcomes. These scenarios will facilitate long-term planning and strategy development.

We evaluate these strategies through socio-economic modelling and survey methods to identify critical success factors for adoption. The outcome for society of the LIMBO project is that it will assist Norwegian authorities and stakeholders to prepare for future AMR challenges in the coming decades.

Partners

  • Institute for rural and regional research (Ruralis)
  • University of Edinburgh
  • Norwegian Veterinary Institute
  • Wageningen University and Research Center
  • Norwegian University of science and technology (NTNU)
  • NorsvinTrøndelag
  • Norsk bondelag
  • Norsk bonde og småbrukarlag
  • Norwegian Agricultural Counseling
  • Animalia
  • TINE SA
  • Oi! Trøndersk Mat og Drikke AS

Project manager

Ruralis

Internal project managment

Madelaine Norström

 

Research information

Start
2021-04-01
Finish
2024-03-30
Project Number
ES668754
Status
Ongoing
Research Areas
Antibiotic resistance, Risk assesment

Forskere

Madelaine Norström

Seniorforsker
Mobilnr: 4747685653
E-post: madelaine.norstrom@vetinst.no

Anne Margrete Urdahl

Seniorforsker, Fagansvarlig Antibiotikaresistens
Mobilnr: 4792864102
E-post: anne-margrete.urdahl@vetinst.no